5-Day Forecast of Tropical Storms
Dear Friends & Neighbors,
(Please click on red links & note magenta)For updated global info & data on COVID-19, please click HERE. For updated global data & graphs on COVID-19, please click HERE. For COVID-19 cases and death counts in USA by state, please click HERE. For COVID-19 cases in Florida via Florida COVID Action, please click HERE. For COVID-19 cases in Florida, via Florida state government, please click HERE.
The official hurricane season for the Atlantic Basin (the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico) is between June 1 to November 30, and the peak of the season is from mid-August to late October. So, September is the month in the middle of the peak of the season. Is your home prepared to survive extreme wind, rain, and damage? National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories for the Atlantic on: Tropical Storm Paulette, Tropical Depression Rene, Tropical Storm Sally, and Tropical Depression Twenty, details from wikipedia, in italics, below:
- Tropical Storm Paulette: The NHC began to track a tropical wave located over Africa on August 30. The wave organized and formed an area of low pressure on September 6, but convective activity remained disorganized. In the early hours of September 7, it became more organized, and the NHC began issuing advisories for Tropical Depression Seventeen at 03:00 UTC on September 7. Before becoming a tropical depression, the storm had previously struggled to organize due to short-lasting convective bursts with little consistency. At 15:00 UTC on September 7, the NHC upgraded the system to Tropical Storm Paulette, the earliest 16th named Atlantic storm, shattering the previous record set by 2005’s Hurricane Philippe by 10 days. It moved generally west-northwestward over the warm Atlantic waters and it gradually intensified. At 15:00 UTC on September 8, Paulette reached its first peak intensity with 1-minute sustained winds of 65 mph (100 km/h) with a minimum central pressure of 995 mbar (29.39 inHg). It held that intensity for 12 hours before an increase in wind shear weakened the storm. On September 11, despite an estimated 40 knots (45 mph) of deep-layer southwesterly shear, Paulette began to reintensify.
- Tropical Depression Rene: On September 3, the NHC noted the possibility of another tropical wave to develop into a tropical depression. On September 6, the wave emerged off the coast of Africa and subsequently began to rapidly organize, and at 09:00 UTC on September 7, it was upgraded to Tropical Depression Eighteen roughly halfway between Africa and Cabo Verde. The depression strengthened just east of Cabo Verde, becoming Tropical Storm Rene just twelve hours later. Rene became the earliest 17th named Atlantic storm, breaking the previous record set by Hurricane Rita in 2005 by 11 days. Three hours later, Rene made landfall on Boa Vista Island with 1-minute sustained winds of 40 mph (65 km/h) and a pressure of 1001 mbars (29.56 inHg). Although the storm lost some organization while moving through the Cabo Verde Islands, it remained a minimal tropical storm before it weakened to a tropical depression at 03:00 UTC on September 9. The system restrengthened to a tropical storm twelve hours later while continuing to fight easterly wind shear. It strengthened further, with 1-minute sustained winds reaching 50 mph and the minimum central pressure dropping to 1000 mbars (29.53 inHg) at 15:00 UTC on September 10. However, the continued effects of dry air and some easterly wind shear weakened the storm again 12 hours later. Dry air entertainment eventually caused its convection to become sporadic and disorganized, and Rene was downgraded to a tropical depression at 15:00 UTC on September 12.A tropical storm warning was issued for the Cabo Verde Islands when advisory were first issued on the storm at 09:00 UTC on September 7. Rene produced gusty winds and heavy rains across the islands, but no serious damage was reported. The warning was discontinued at 21:00 UTC on September 8.
- Tropical Storm Sally: At 00:00 UTC on September 10, the NHC began to monitor an area of disturbed weather over The Bahamas for possible development. Over the next two days, convection rapidly increased, became better organized, and formed a broad area of low-pressure on September 11. At 21:00 UTC, the system had organized enough to be designated as Tropical Depression Nineteen. At 06:00 UTC on September 12, the depression made landfall just south of Miami, Florida with winds of 35 mph (55 km/h) and a pressure of 1007 mbar (29.74 inHg). Shortly after moving into the Gulf of Mexico, the system strengthened into Tropical Storm Sally at 18:00 UTC the same day and became the earliest 18th named Atlantic storm, shattering the previous record set by Hurricane Stan in 2005 by 20 days.
- Tropical Depression Twenty: The NHC began to monitor a tropical wave over Africa at 0:00 UTC on September 7. The wave entered the Atlantic Ocean on September 10, and began to organize. At 21:00 UTC on September 12, the NHC designated the disturbance as Tropical Depression Twenty.
So, how would you prepare for tropical storms if you live in the affected areas? In the video “How to prepare for a Tropical Storm“, below:
- Monitor weather conditions
- Be sure that the building you’re in can stand heavy rain & check roof for leaks or other potential damaged areas
- Have survival kit ready (first aid kit, flash light, cell phone, batteries, whistle, power banks, 2-way radio)
- Stock up on food not easily spoiled (canned goods, dry goods, nuts, etc. with long shelf life) & enough drinking water
- Keep pertinent documents in water-proof containers
- Coordinate with local authorities for potential need to evacuate
- If need to evacuate, remember to switch off power source of the house, unplug all electrical devices, lock all doors & windows, & bring money
- During storm, keep calm, stay indoor and continue to monitor local weather conditions through main stream media and social media
- If electrical power is down, use battery operated transistor radio
- Keep away from flooded areas
- Stay at home
- After the storm: Check weather conditions before going out after the storm, report damages, check for damages (esp. for live wire), check on other people in the community if they need help
- Gathered, written, and posted by Windermere Sun-Susan Sun Nunamaker More about the community at www.WindermereSun.com