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I feel compelled to share this video that I came across: This is a presentation titled “Clean Disruption: 100% Electric Transportation and 100% Solar Energy By 2030” (reposted from our sister publication Sun Is The Future), presented to AltCars Expo and Conference in Santa Monica, CA, by Tony Seba, on Sep. 19, 2014. In his matter of fact manner, Mr. Seba pointed out the historical pattern of disruptions from the past as a way to help us to envision our future of Solar-Electric-Self Driving Vehicles, below:

 Mr. Seba points out the 5 reasons why EV (electric vehicle) is “disruptive”:

1. Electric Motor is 5x+ more energy efficient than the internal combustion engine (ICE).
2. EV energy costs are 10x cheaper than ICE vehicle.
3. EV maintenance costs are 5-10x cheaper than ICE vehicle.
4. Wireless charging
5. Electric Motor is far more powerful than ICE.

The question to ask now is: how long will the transition take from ICE to EV? It is comforting to know that since 2010, the battery costs have been dropping at ~16%/year as a result of 3 multi-trillion dollar industries (IT/Electronics, Automotive, and Energy) all interested in investing in battery technology. The simple fact that Tesla’s $5 Billion Battery GigaFactory is being built will double world battery production and will bring down the battery pack costs by >30%, leading to the eventual cost of an average EV at US$31,000 by 2020 and low-end EV at US$21,000 by 2022. Therefore, mass migration from ICE (gasoline) to electric vehicles is anticipated to occur around 2017-2018 and 100% of mainstream cars will be electric by 2030.

Another functionality of the EV is its eventual autonomous feature. Along with this feature, there will be improved highway capacity and higher efficiency. This will translate to a shrinking auto industry and shrinking need of parking spaces or need of car ownerships. Solar industry has been growing exponentially 43%/year since 2000. If such growth rate continues, 100% of the energy in the world will be solar by 2030. We will be facing a new world, a cleaner, healthier, and more efficient world.

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This is a piece of wonderful news! For many of you are well aware of the fact that I’ve been trying to spread the Sunshine throughout our planet (advocating for solar energy) for quite a few years now. I (and many other solar/renewable enthusiasts) believe that solar energy is ultimately the solution/ answer to our Energy-Pollution-Climate Change-International Conflicts problems. Now, we have more tangible data to point us to the time frame upon which we’d be able to arrive at the Solution Time. We all simply need to tirelessly work toward that goal and not to give up before its fruition. For Solar Energy Future is right around the corner.

~Let’s Help One Another~

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Gathered, written, video-recorded, and posted by Windermere Sun-Susan Sun Nunamaker
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